{
  "p": 0.55,
  "q": 0.4,
  "mode": "lambda",
  "lambda": 0.5,
  "bankroll": 1000,
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "name": "YES",
      "format": "contract",
      "price": 0.4,
      "purchase_fee": 0,
      "profit_commission": 0
    }
  ],
  "q_source": "Explicit synthetic benchmark assumption",
  "event": {
    "definition": "Synthetic binary event E; YES iff its settlement record is true",
    "settlement_at": "2026-12-01T00:00:00Z",
    "resolver": "Synthetic scenario ledger",
    "cancellation_rule": "No cancellation or refund outcome in this synthetic case"
  },
  "probability_reason": "Explicit synthetic probability assumption, not a real forecast",
  "related_positions": "none",
  "purpose": "example",
  "example_requested": true,
  "assumptions": {
    "event": "Synthetic event, settlement time, resolver, and no-refund rule",
    "p": "Assumed personal probability 0.55 and illustrative reason",
    "q": "Assumed baseline 0.4, not a live market quote",
    "outcomes": "Assumed executable YES contract price 0.4; winning payout is 1 per unit",
    "fees": "Assumed purchase fee 0 and profit commission 0",
    "bankroll": "Assumed total bankroll 1000",
    "related_positions": "Assumed no related positions",
    "lambda": "Illustrative weight 0.5"
  }
}